Title : "In the poll we have in the field right now, only 0.4 percent of dials have yielded a completed interview."
link : "In the poll we have in the field right now, only 0.4 percent of dials have yielded a completed interview."
"In the poll we have in the field right now, only 0.4 percent of dials have yielded a completed interview."
"If you were employed as one of our interviewers at a call center, you would have to dial numbers for two hours to get a single completed interview.... Call screening is definitely part of the problem, but if you screen your calls almost 100 percent of the time, it might be a little less of one than you might think. About one-fifth of our dials still contact a human. But once we do reach a person, we’ve got a number of challenges. Is this the right human? (We talk only to people named on the file, so that we can use their information.) If it is the right person, will he or she participate? Probably not, unfortunately.... The main thing is we make sure that the sample of people we do reach is demographically and politically representative, and if not, we adjust it to match the known characteristics of the population. If we poll a state where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by two percentage points, and our respondents wind up being registered Democrats by a four-point margin, we give a little less weight to the Democratic respondents. We make similar adjustments for race; age; education; how often people have voted; where they live; marital status; homeownership; and more."
Writes Nate Cohn in "Who in the World Is Still Answering Pollsters’ Phone Calls? Response rates suggest the 'death of telephone polling' is getting closer" (NYT).
How do they know "Democrats outnumber Republicans by two percentage points" other than by relying on already unreliable polls?
The article doesn't really answer the question in the headline, which I read as saying what kind of weirdos are answering these polls and why do we care what they think?
Thus articles "In the poll we have in the field right now, only 0.4 percent of dials have yielded a completed interview."
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