Title : Why was there a 6-point drop in support for abortion rights in the month that the Supreme Court overruled Roe v. Wade?
link : Why was there a 6-point drop in support for abortion rights in the month that the Supreme Court overruled Roe v. Wade?
Why was there a 6-point drop in support for abortion rights in the month that the Supreme Court overruled Roe v. Wade?
I'm trying to understand this new Marist poll, which was conducted on June 24th and 25th. The Supreme Court decision came out on the morning of June 24th. Of course, there was also the leak of what turned out to be the majority opinion. That happened on May 2nd.
Is the Court's opinion — or the press coverage of it — moving people against abortion rights? I don't know, but if I did know, I can think of reasons why that might happen.
It might be that some people accept the word of the Supreme Court, and if the Court says there is a right, they believe that, and if the Court says there is no right, they believe that too. Similarly, some people might feel influenced by the views of these other people, the Justices, because they are smarter and more educated and have immersed themselves deeply in the subject.
The question was asked in terms of rights, and many people will interpret that to mean federal constitutional rights. They may, rationally and modestly, think they don't know enough about law to have a better opinion than the one the Supreme Court came up with.
Now, "supporting abortion rights" could also mean supporting rights in some other form. Indeed, "supporting" conveys the notion that it's a political position. A sophisticated poll respondent, knowing that Roe has been overruled, could interpret the question to mean, do I want my state legislature and Congress to pass laws that protect access to abortion?
Perhaps, as people adjust to the overruling and face political participation, they will withdraw from the position that the pollsters call "supporting abortion rights."
It's one thing to think: The Court has declared a right and I support that resolution of the complicated problem, giving the decision to the individual. It's a private matter, kept private. I am freed to look away and go about my life without the burden of deciding whose interests will prevail.
But it's something else to have to participate in the decision. The Court has thrown the burden back on the people, and now "supporting abortion rights" means connecting yourself to the decision to authorize abortion.
Maybe those extra 5 percentage points of difference in the poll between May and June are people who don't want responsibility for creating new abortion rights — getting statutes passed. If there were a constitutional right, it would be — one might think — out there already, inherent in the nature of human life. In that view, to support the right is merely to face reality. But if there is no constitutional right, and it's a matter of getting statutes passed, then "supporting" it means that you are choosing to order morality with the woman's interest in controlling her own body predominating over the life of the unborn.
Notice that the opposition to abortion rights did not increase by 6 percentage points, but only 2. "Unsure" increased from 5% to 8%. In any case, this is only one poll, and it's only been a few days. I'm just writing to open out the questions. I suspect there is a great deal of ambivalence out there, and some of the strong talk expressing horror over the loss of this long-held right may inadvertently push people some people away.
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