Title : "Who gains from Biden’s decline?... Pete Buttigieg’s chances [of winning a majority of pledged delegate] are ... up, to 6 percent from 4 percent before..."
link : "Who gains from Biden’s decline?... Pete Buttigieg’s chances [of winning a majority of pledged delegate] are ... up, to 6 percent from 4 percent before..."
"Who gains from Biden’s decline?... Pete Buttigieg’s chances [of winning a majority of pledged delegate] are ... up, to 6 percent from 4 percent before..."
"... but even after getting most of the credit for winning Iowa in the model... they haven’t improved by as much as you think. That’s because... Buttigieg still has his work cut out for him in building a broader coalition; it’s going to require a big bounce in states and among demographic groups where the former mayor is not currently strong. With that said, Buttigieg is potentially quite competitive in New Hampshire, where our model gives him a 20 percent chance of winning, and that could give him a further boost. Buttigieg has a 9 percent chance of winning the plurality of pledged delegates. The gap between his plurality and the majority odds reflects how he might be poised to benefit from the field remaining divided between several candidates."Nate Silver analyzes.
I was surprised to see this graphic at FiveThirtyEight:

Why does Pete Buttigieg only have 1 chance in 40 and why is his line going down when he just (I think) won the Iowa caucuses? Why did Warren's chance improve?
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