"Harris probably needs to start plotting out a media and expectations-management strategy now that allows her to remain viable even if she strikes out in the first four states." - Hallo friend USA IN NEWS, In the article you read this time with the title "Harris probably needs to start plotting out a media and expectations-management strategy now that allows her to remain viable even if she strikes out in the first four states.", we have prepared well for this article you read and download the information therein. hopefully fill posts Article HOT, Article NEWS, we write this you can understand. Well, happy reading.

Title : "Harris probably needs to start plotting out a media and expectations-management strategy now that allows her to remain viable even if she strikes out in the first four states."
link : "Harris probably needs to start plotting out a media and expectations-management strategy now that allows her to remain viable even if she strikes out in the first four states."

"Harris probably needs to start plotting out a media and expectations-management strategy now that allows her to remain viable even if she strikes out in the first four states."

"California and some of the other Super Tuesday states should be good states for her, by contrast, but she needs to get there and to remain above the 15 percent threshold first."

Writes Nate Silver in "Bulletpoint: Does Kamala Harris Need A Win Before California?"

Is it too early to start talking about the potential for a brokered convention? No. From 2 days ago, Oregon Dem at Kos, "Prediction: The 2020 Democratic Convention Will be Contested, and Harris Will Emerge as the Nominee":

Per the revised DNC rules, “Superdelegates”... cannot vote on the first ballot.... Because of this change, for the current contest, those who are Superdelegates appear to be less vocal in who they may be supporting. I haven’t seen a single tabulation this time as to which candidates have which Superdelegate’s support....

While Biden is still clearly the leader, he’s no lock at all to win 50 percent of the Pledged Delegates. If Sanders, Warren, and Harris all stay in the race, which is likely given their strong polling averages and good fundraising totals, and if Biden’s polling average slips into the upper 20s while they all stay in the 15 to 20 percent range, the likelihood that no candidate goes into the convention with more than 50 percent of the Pledged Delegates increases....

If Superdelegates split their support more broadly during a second ballot, one can imagine the rare situation where we’d see an even more contested convention (requiring a third ballot) because no candidate earns a majority of Total Delegates on a second ballot.

Were that to occur, I think that Kamala Harris would emerge as the consensus candidate because she checks more boxes....

If one candidate is significantly ahead of the others, the Superdelegates will feel a lot of pressure to pick that person, but with all the race-and-gender politics these days, the pressure can be overcome if the top vote-getter in round 1 is a white male. We all know what "checks more boxes" means.

Let's go back to what Silver wrote: "Harris probably needs to start plotting out a media and expectations-management strategy now that allows her to remain viable even if she strikes out in the first four states. California and some of the other Super Tuesday states should be good states for her, by contrast, but she needs to get there and to remain above the 15 percent threshold first." The 15% matters because in Democratic Party primaries, candidates need at least 15 percent to get a share of the delegates. (It's never winner take all.) Silver never mentions the convention in this piece. He's mostly talking about "momentum" and what gets media attention. But it seems to me that Harris (and others) should be "plotting out" not just "a media and expectations-management strategy" but an argument for choosing them on the second ballot.

Or is Harris already home free because she "checks more boxes"? What about the other candidates? Do they need to build their case for choosing them on the second ballot? Or is it obvious that all the others can only hope to win on the second ballot — if Harris reached the convention relatively unscathed — if they get the most votes on the first ballot?

Thus articles "Harris probably needs to start plotting out a media and expectations-management strategy now that allows her to remain viable even if she strikes out in the first four states."

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