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Title : Predicting The Future Of Warfare
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Predicting The Future Of Warfare

Recruits go on patrol during basic training at Fort Jackson, S.C. TRADOC is responsible for developing the doctrine used to train new Soldiers. (Photo Credit: Air Force Staff Sgt. Shawn Weismiller)

Robert H. Scales, War On The Rocks: Forecasting the Future of Warfare

The Army’s decision to create a “Futures Command” is long overdue, well-intended, and absolutely necessary if the Army is to emerge from the malaise that has held modernization in its vice for all of this new century. But accelerating the pace of modernization without a rigorous understanding of how militaries anticipate the future of war might run the risk of creating an accelerating engine with greater thrust, but no vectors.

I’ve spent almost three decades studying the art and science of future gazing. The high point of my immersion as a futurist began in 1991 when then Army Chief of Staff Gen. Gordon Sullivan, entrusted me with writing the Army’s official history of the Gulf War, Certain Victory. Three years later, in 1995 another chief of staff, Gen. Dennis Reimer, gave me the mission of looking into the deep future of warfare, beyond 2020 to 2025. As head of the Army After Next project, I had access to an enormously talented group of young officers, many of whom are still doing great work today. With the assistance of my deputy, Col. Bob Killebrew, we invented the Army’s first strategic game, which continues today in heavily modified form as Unified Quest.

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WNU Editor: A long read, but for those who are interested in how future wars will be fought .... a must read.

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